FM Predicts the EPL #2 | Man Utd Top The League | FM17

Can Football Manager accurately predict the outcome of real life matches? In this brand new series on VivaLaVidaFM, I will be putting both FM17 and FM18 to the test as we look to see how accurate the game is.

If you missed our introduction post to the series, do go back and check it out here. We explained how the series is going to run and began by looking at the Community Shield that was won by Arsenal.

In this post we look at the opening round of fixtures of the English Premier League season and see if Football Manager can predict what is going to happen.

Get involved

Before we get started, I want to encourage you to all get involved in the series by predicting next weeks results in the comments section of the post. I will put next weeks fixtures at the bottom of this post for you to leave your predictions.

Last week Gran2 left the following comment on the post to help with our series.

comment from website

Three very well made points. The third, in particular, interests me as it would be useful to be able to increase the CA (current ability) of in-form players in real-life. Let me know what you think of this by leaving a comment.

The English Premier League 2017/2018

Arsenal v Leicester | Friday 11th August 2017

On Football Manager

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A huge shock opened the Premier League season in Football Manager as Leicester won away at Arsenal, scoring 4 to Arsenal’s 2. Jamie Vardy and new signing Kelechi Iheanacho scored braces to secure an unlikely victory.

Surely this couldn’t happen in real life though, could it?

In Real-life

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Incredibly, after 83 minutes Leicester were leading the match 3-2. Arsenal led through Alexandre Lacazette after just two minutes (with just his second touch in the Premier League), but a goal from Okazaki and a brace from Vardy (with a Danny Welbeck goal sandwiched in between) set up an exciting finish.

Arsenal fought back bravely and, after countless waves of attacks, scored both the equaliser and the winner to secure a 4-3 victory. An enthralling way to begin the 2017/18 English Premier League season.

Watford v Liverpool | Saturday 12th August 2017

On Football Manager

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A bore draw saw Liverpool frustrated away at Watford. Despite having 30 shots, 11 of which were on target, Liverpool failed to register any clear cut chances and had an incredible 20 long shots.

Resolute defensive play from Watford.

In Real-life

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Much alike to the season opener between Arsenal and Leicester, Watford and Liverpool played out an exciting game that finished 3-3. Both sides led the game at some stage with Watford securing a point in the dying embers of the game.

Chelsea v Burnley | Saturday 12th August 2017

On Football Manager

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An 87th-minute penalty, scored by David Luis, allowed champions Chelsea to begin their league campaign with victory. Burnley created very little in the game and were fortunate to have held out for so long.

In Real-life

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Gary Cahill, the new club captain for Chelsea, was sent off in the 14th minute for a clumsy challenge. This put Chelsea on the back foot and Burnley certainly capitalised, scoring 3 goals before half-time.

Chelsea did fight back and, despite losing Cesc Fabregas for a second bookable offence, scored two goals through new signing Morata and David Luis. Burnley held on for the win.

Crystal Palace v Huddersfield | Saturday 12th August 2017

On Football Manager

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An early penalty and an own goal proved too much for Huddersfield to overcome as they lost 2-1 to Crystal Palace. The Premier League newcomers put up a strong fight away from home but couldn’t find that second goal to bring the match back on level terms.

In Real-life

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A dream start for Huddersfield and manager David Wagner as the new boys won 3-0 to put them top of the EPL table on Saturday night. Club record signing Steve Mounie scored two on his Huddersfield debut to help secure the three points.

A dominant display from the Championship Playoff winners.

Everton v Stoke | Saturday 12th August 2017

On Football Manager

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Wayne Rooney marked his Everton comeback with two goals to help his club beat Stoke City. Saido Berahino scored an early penalty for Stoke but Everton battle back hard and fought right to the end, scoring a late winner to earn three points.

In Real-life

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Like FM, Wayne Rooney scored the winner, albeit just the one, as Everton beat Stoke by 1 goal to nil. Both teams employed the trendy 3 at the back system and effectively cancelled each other out throughout the game but it was Rooney’s header that was the decider.

Southampton v Swansea | Saturday 12th August 2017

On Football Manager

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Swansea may count themselves unlucky in what was a fairly even contest at St Mary’s. Southampton took home the three points after winning 3-1, but the scoreline could really have gone either way.

In Real-life

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Southampton and Swansea played out the first goalless draw of the 2017/18 EPL campaign and it is Swansea who will happier with the point. Both managers stated after the game that Southampton deserved to win, but unfortunately for Southampton they wasted their chances and Swansea held on to a point.

West Brom v Bournemouth | Saturday 12th August 2017

On Football Manager

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Football Manager expects Jay Rodriguez to be an amazing signing for West Brom this season as he scored all four goals to beat Bournemouth 4-1. An uncharacteristic win, perhaps, for goal-shy West Brom.

Though if the Baggies were to score four goals, Bournemouth could possibly be one of the sides more likely to be on the receiving end.

In Real-life

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As it was, a standard Tony Pulis 1-0 was enough as West Brom won their season opener. Defender Ahmed Hegazi scored the winner in the first half and Bournemouth were unable to find a way back into the match.

Brighton v Man City | Saturday 12th August 2017

On Football Manager

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A Matthew Ryan own goal contributed to a 4-0 defeat for Brighton against Man City. Leroy Sane scored two, with Aguero scoring the fourth, as City lead 4-0 after just 28 minutes.

Brighton kept the score to 4 for the remainder of the game.

In Real-life

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Saturday’s late kick-off was between Brighton and Man City. Brighton, playing in their first ever Premier League match, held out against a strong Manchester City side for 70 minutes before Sergio Aguero put the away side in front.

Lewis Dunk then headed the ball into his own net which effectively put an end to any hopes of an equaliser for the hosts.

Newcastle v Tottenham | Sunday 13th August 2017

On Football Manager

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Newcastle went down to ten men early on as Jesus Gomez was sent off for a second bookable offence. Tottenham made the most of this as they secured an easy 2-0 victory away from home.

In Real-life

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The success story of the weekend sees an identical result in real-life and FM. The sending off of Jonjo Shelvey changed the game in the 48th minute after he rashly stamped on Dele Alli’s ankle.

Alli then scored his first of the season with Ben Davies adding a second to give Tottenham the perfect start to the season.

Man Utd v West Ham | Sunday 13th August 2017

On Football Manager

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Manchester United started their campaign with a 3-1 victory over West Ham in a fairly even contest. In fact, Man Utd could consider themselves fortunate to have won by such a margin considering West Ham’s ability to create chances as they did.

In Real-life

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A far more comfortable victory occurred in real-life as Man United won 4-0. West Ham offered little in attack, a Hernandez strike shortly before half-time being their highlight. Man Utd were fluent in attack as they broke with pace; Lukaku scoring twice before two late goals from Martial and Pogba put the Red Devils top of the league at the end of Gameweek 1.

#FMbet

We mentioned in our previous post how we will be placing bets on each game based on what happens in-game. In this section I will share some of the betting highlights from the week and keep a running total of my profits or (most likely) losses.

fmbet highlights #1

In Football Manager, Chelsea won their match through a David Luiz penalty. I placed a bet on Luiz to score at anytime in their match versus Burnley, which he did.

In the virtual world, Brighton lost to Man City 4-0, which included an own goal from Brighton keeper Ryan. In the real world, Lewis Dunk scored an own goal which won me another bet.

I also placed a bet on Liverpool to draw with Watford.

Bets placed: 6

Profit/Loss: £5.60

A successful start to our #FMbet season.

FM Predicts the EPL | Statistics

Matches Played: 10

Correct Outcome: 6 | 60%

Correct Scoreline: 1 | 10%


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Gameweek 2 Fixtures

Swansea v Man Utd
Bournemouth v Watford
Burnley v West Brom
Leicester v Brighton
Liverpool v C Palace
West Ham v Southampton
Stoke v Arsenal
Huddersfield v Newcastle
Tottenham v Chelsea
Man City v Everton

Comment below YOUR predictions for next weeks EPL fixtures!

Thanks for reading our second post in the series ‘FM predicts the EPL’. Get involved in the series, either by commenting below or getting in touch with us through the social media links above.

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And to make sure you don’t miss any future posts in this series, follow the blog through the sidebar menu (pc users) or the menu below this post (mobile users).

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